Who will swim in Rio?
First off, I do not have any affiliation with the IOC or any part of the olympic selection procedure.
Anything that follows is a pure exercise of hypotheticals and does not by any means need to be accurate. Actually, most of is is blantantly wrong! Here's why:
- I may not have understood the qualification procedure perfectly. If you spot a flaw in my logic, I encourage you to contact me about it
- The below list is extracted from the world rankings produced by the FINA (and USA Swimming) website. Any times swum that do not appear in their database won't appear in mine either. (If anyone knows where exactly FINA pulls its list to make invites, please contact me about it)
- It does not currently take into account relays and universality places, although this support might be added in the near future.
- The below list does not take into account any national selection criteria. Many countries have standards faster than A-cuts or require performances to be swum at a specific trial meet. (The US are just one example of this)
- The page updates daily, at 1.am. However, unless the FINA's database doesn't update first, nothing here will change.
- (Minor effect) This list only looks at Top 200 performances. However it is conceivable that invites go out to people beyond that range.
- There may be duplicate athletes due to different spellings. If there are, the same is true for the world ranking list from FINA.
- The PDF file with the official invitation rules can be found here
To update Database, click here. (ATTENTION: TAKES AT LEAST 2 MINUTES TO EXECUTE)
Please use this update feature wisely. If the FINA database doesn't update first, this won't do anything other than cause unnecessary amounts of computation and internet traffic.
Total Number of unique A-cut swimmers:0
The universality countries (represented at Worlds, without any A-cut achievers) are:
USA, AUS, GBR, CHN, FRA, JPN, HUN, RUS, SWE, GER, ITA, BRA, RSA, NED, DEN, POL, LTU, NZL, ARG, CAN, ESP, JAM, ALB, ALG, AND, ANG, ANT, ARM, ARU, ASA, AUT, AZE, BAH, BAN, BAR, BDI, BEL, BEN, BER, BIH, BLR, BOL, BOT, BRN, BRU, BUL, BUR, CAF, CAM, CAY, CGO, CHI, CIV, CMR, COK, COL, COM, CRC, CRO, CUB, CUR, CYP, CZE, DJI, DOM, ECU, EGY, ESA, EST, ETH, FAR, FIJ, FIN, FSM, GAB, GAM, GEO, GHA, GRE, GRN, GUA, GUI, GUM, GUY, HAI, HKG, HON, INA, IND, IRI, IRL, IRQ, ISL, ISR, ISV, IVB, JOR, KAZ, KEN, KGZ, KOR, KOS, KUW, LAO, LAT, LBA, LCA, LES, LIB, LIE, LUX, MAC, MAD, MAR, MAS, MAW, MDA, MDV, MEX, MGL, MHL, MKD, MLI, MLT, MNE, MON, MOZ, MRI, MYA, NAM, NCA, NEP, NGR, NIG, NMA, NOR, OMA, PAK, PAN, PAR, PER, PHI, PLE, PLW, PNG, POR, PRK, PUR, QAT, ROU, RWA, SAM, SEN, SEY, SIN, SKN, SLE, SLO, SMR, SRB, SRI, SUD, SUI, SUR, SVK, SWZ, SYR, TAN, TCN, TGA, THA, TJK, TKM, TLS, TOG, TPE, TRI, TUN, TUR, UAE, UGA, UKR, URU, UZB, VEN, VIE, VIN, YEM, ZAM, ZIM,
They are in total: 190 which amounts to at most 380 universality swimmers.
There will be 16 relays for each olympic relay event (4x100 Free, 4x100 Medley, 4x200 Free M/F) which means at most 192 relay swimmers
This leaves 328 spots for invites.
However, this is not accurate, since not all universality places, A-cut achievers or qualified relays will be selected by their respective country.
Furthermore, many relay swimmers will be among A-cut achievers.
It is also interesting to look at the London 2012 Olympics to get an idea of how the invites might fall into place. It was split up like such:
438 - OQT (59 NF/NOCs)
181 - OST (12 NF/NOCs)
131 - Relay-only swimmers
150 - Universality (95 NF/NOCs)
And the documents from FINA about this that I could find:
List of universality athletes
List of A-qualifiers
List of Invitations (fist round)
List Male relay-only swimmers
List of Female relay-only swimmers
What seems to be world rankings prior to London 2012
Great Wikipedia Article about London 2012 Qualification
Now, without further ado, here is every event's ranking. In bold are A-cuts, in cursive potential universality swimmers